July 2020 Climate Forecast Discussion

July 2020 Climate Forecast Discussion for Aug-Oct through Nov-Jan

An enhanced probability for below-normal precipitation is forecast in part of Chile and Argentina for Aug-Oct, Sep-Nov, and Oct-Dec. Below-normal is also favored over parts of eastern/southern Africa for all four forecast seasons (Aug-Oct through Nov-Jan). In the later seasons (Oct-Dec and Nov-Jan), the tendency toward dryer than normal conditions reaches parts of the southern U.S. and northern Mexico, far eastern Asia, and central SW Asia. Many of the tendencies toward enhanced likelihood of dry conditions are consistent with weak-moderate La Nina conditions anticipated by the ensemble prediction systems used.

Enhanced probabilities for above-normal temperature are predicted for North America, Greenland, and varying parts of Asia Australia, Asia, Africa, North America, South America and Europe through the forecast seasons.