Subseasonal Forecasts

Forecasts bridging the gap between weather and seasonal timescales (weeks 2-6).

Individual forecast weeks from the SubX multi-model ensemble. Released every Friday

Using the forecast maps

Use the controls above each map to choose what it shows. On the seasonal page you can pick the forecast Source, the Type (precipitation or temperature) and the date the forecast was issued. On the subseasonal page you pick the Type, then the year, month and day of issue. The map updates as soon as you change a setting. The box of buttons on the map switches between the forecast periods in that issuance: target seasons on the seasonal map, forecast periods on the subseasonal map. The title changes to match the period you pick. You can zoom with the scroll wheel or the +/– buttons and drag to move around the map. Download PNG saves the period currently shown as an image, with its title and legend.

CCSR/IRI SubX Multi-Model Probability Forecast for Precipitation for
Week 1 Issued 09 October 2026
Probability (%) of Most Likely Category
Below Normal
40
45
50
60
70+
Normal
40+
Above Normal
40
45
50
60
70+
Equal Odds/No Forecast

Citation

Robertson, A. W., and Coauthors, 2023: A Multimodel Real-Time System for Global Probabilistic Subseasonal Forecasts of Precipitation and Temperature. Wea. Forecasting, 38, 921–935, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-22-0160.1.