Category: ENSO Forecast

Research notes and updates from the team.

October 2014 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly in the NINO3.4 region in recent weeks has slightly retreated from a borderline El Niño level, after having briefly reached that level around mid-September. For September the average NINO3.4 SST anomaly was 0.45 C, indicative of warm but still neutral conditions, and for Jul-Sep it was 0.28 C.

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September 2014 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly in the NINO3.4 region in recent weeks has returned to a borderline El Niño level, after having retreated to neutral readings during July and August. For August the NINO3.4 SST anomaly was 0.20 C, indicative of neutral conditions, and for Jun-Aug it was 0.28 C.

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August 2014 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly in the Nino3.4 region in recent weeks retreated from near the borderline of neutral and El Niño where it had been in May and June. For July the Nino3.4 SST anomaly was 0.18 C, indicative of neutral conditions, and for May-July it was 0.37 C.

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July 2014 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly in the Nino3.4 region in recent weeks has been near the borderline of neutral and El Nino during the mid-June to mid-July period, 2014. For June the Nino3.4 SST anomaly was 0.46 C, indicative of neutral conditions but very close to the borderline of El Nino, and for April-June it was 0.39 C.

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June 2014 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly in the Nino3.4 region in recent weeks has been near the borderline of neutral and El Nino during the mid-May to mid-June period, 2014. For May the Nino3.4 SST anomaly was 0.45 C, indicative of neutral conditions but very close to the borderline of El Nino, and for Mar-May it was 0.16 C.

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May 2014 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly in the Nino3.4 region in recent weeks has been in the neutral range but rising during the mid-April to mid-May period, 2014. For April the Nino3.4 SST anomaly was 0.24 C, indicative of neutral conditions, and for Feb-Apr it was -0.18 C.

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