Category: ENSO Forecast

Research notes and updates from the team.

October 2013 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly in the Nino3.4 region has been in the neutral range lately, through mid-October 2013. For September 2013 the Nino3.4 SST anomaly was -0.03 C, indicative of neutral ENSO conditions, and for July-September it was -0.21 C. The IRI's definition of El Niño, like NOAA/Climate Prediction Center's, requires that the SST anomaly in the NINO3.4 region (5S-5N; 170W-120W) exceed 0.5 C.

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September 2013 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly in the Nino3.4 region has been in the neutral range lately, through mid-September 2013. For August 2013 the Nino3.4 SST anomaly was -0.28 C, indicative of neutral ENSO conditions, and for May-August it was -0.27 C. The IRI's definition of El Niño, like NOAA/Climate Prediction Center's, requires that the SST anomaly in the NINO3.4 region (5S-5N; 170W-120W) exceed 0.5 C.

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August 2013 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly in the Nino3.4 region has been in the neutral range lately, through mid-August 2013. For July 2013 the Nino3.4 SST anomaly was -0.31 C, indicative of neutral ENSO conditions, and for April-June it was -0.26 C. The IRI's definition of El Niño, like NOAA/Climate Prediction Center's, requires that the SST anomaly in the NINO3.4 region (5S-5N; 170W-120W) exceed 0.5 C.

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