Category: ENSO Forecast

Research notes and updates from the team.

April 2022 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly for NINO3.4 during the Jan-Mar season was -0.81 C, and for the month of March it was -0.89 C. The most recent weekly (13 Apr 2022) anomaly in the NINO3.4 region was -0.9 C, suggesting a continuation and slight strengthening of the current weak La Niña event.

Read more →

March 2022 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly for NINO3.4 during the Dec-Feb season was -0.86 C, and for the month of February it was -0.71 C. The most recent weekly (09 Mar 2022) anomaly in the NINO3.4 region was -1.0 C, suggesting a reinforcement of the current weak La Niña conditions.

Read more →

February 2022 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly for NINO3.4 during the Nov-Jan season was -0.91 C, and for the month of January it was -0.83 C. The most recent weekly (09 Feb 2022) anomaly in the NINO3.4 region was -0.7 C, suggesting a continued, but slight weakening of the current La Niña conditions.

Read more →

January 2022 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The December SST anomaly for NINO3.4 region (5S-5N; 170W-120W) was -1.05 C, and for Oct-Dec season it was -0.92, which shows weak La Niña. The IRI’s definition of a weak La Niña, like NOAA/Climate Prediction Center’s, requires that the SST anomaly in the NINO3.4 region be between -0.5 C and -1.0 C.

Read more →

December 2021 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

La Niña conditions are well established, with Sea Surface Temperatures (SST) well below average across most of the equatorial Pacific Ocean. The November SST anomaly for NINO3.4 region (5S-5N; 170W-120W) was -0.89 C, and for Sep-Nov season it was -0.80.

Read more →

November 2021 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

Sea Surface Temperatures (SST) remain well below average across most of the equatorial Pacific Ocean. The October SST anomaly for NINO3.4 region (5S-5N; 170W-120W) was -0.83 C, and for Aug-Oct season it was -0.52, which is just within the weak La Niña range.

Read more →