Category: ENSO Forecast

Research notes and updates from the team.

October 2023 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly for NINO3.4 during the Jul-Sep 2023 season was +1.30 °C, and for the month of Sep 2023 it was +1.53 °C. The most recent weekly (11 Oct 2023) anomaly in the NINO3.4 region was +1.50 °C, suggesting that the tropical Pacific is experiencing moderate strength El Niño conditions.

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September 2023 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly for NINO3.4 during the Jun-Aug 2023 season was +1.08 °C, and for the month of Aug 2023 it was +1.30 °C. The most recent weekly (13 Sep 2023) anomaly in the NINO3.4 region was +1.6 °C, suggesting that the tropical Pacific is experiencing moderate strength El Niño conditions.

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August 2023 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly for NINO3.4 during the May-Jul 2023 season was +0.81 °C, and for the month of Jul 2023 it was +1.07 °C. The most recent weekly (09 Aug 2023) anomaly in the NINO3.4 region was +1.2 °C, suggesting that the tropical Pacific is experiencing a moderate strength El Niño conditions.

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July 2023 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly for NINO3.4 during the Apr-Jun 2023 season was +0.51 °C, and for the month of Jun 2023 it was +0.88 °C. The most recent weekly (12 Jul 2023) anomaly in the NINO3.4 region was +1.1 °C, suggesting that the tropical Pacific is experiencing moderate strength El Niño conditions.

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June 2023 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly for NINO3.4 during the Mar-May 2023 season was +0.22 °C, and for the month of May 2023 it was +0.47 °C. The most recent weekly (07 Jun 2023) anomaly in the NINO3.4 region was +0.9 °C, strongly suggesting that the tropical Pacific is now experiencing El Niño conditions.

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May 2023 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly for NINO3.4 during the Feb-Apr 2023 season was -0.08 °C, and for the month of April 2023 it was +0.19 °C. The most recent weekly (10 May 2023) anomaly in the NINO3.4 region was 0.5 °C, indicating that the tropical Pacific is experiencing a developing El Niño conditions.

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