Category: ENSO Forecast

Research notes and updates from the team.

April 2023 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly for NINO3.4 during the Jan-Mar 2023 season was -0.38 °C, and for the month of March 2023 it was -0.01 °C. The most recent weekly (12 Apr 2023) anomaly in the NINO3.4 region was 0.1 °C, indicating that the tropical Pacific is experiencing ENSO-neutral conditions.

Read more →

March 2023 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly for NINO3.4 during the Dec-Feb 2022 season was -0.65 °C, and for the month of February 2023 it was -0.44 °C. The most recent weekly (15 Mar 2023) anomaly in the NINO3.4 region was 0.1 °C, indicating termination of protracted triple-Dip La Niña. The tropical Pacific is now experiencing ENSO-neutral conditions.

Read more →

February 2023 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly for NINO3.4 during the Nov-Jan 2022 season was -0.82 °C, and for the month of January 2023 it was -0.69 °C. The most recent weekly (15 Feb 2023) anomaly in the NINO3.4 region was -0.5 °C, indicating weakened and now borderline La Niña conditions in the tropical Pacific.

Read more →

January 2023 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly for NINO3.4 during the Oct-Dec season was -0.9 °C, and for the month of December it was -0.84 °C. The most recent weekly (11 Jan 2023) anomaly in the NINO3.4 region was -0.7 °C, indicating a slight weakening of the current La Niña conditions in the tropical Pacific.

Read more →

December 2022 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly for NINO3.4 during the Sep-Nov season was -0.90 °C, and for the month of November it was -0.93 °C. The most recent weekly (14 Dec 2022) anomaly in the NINO3.4 region was -0.9 °C, indicating persistent La Niña conditions in the tropical Pacific.

Read more →

November 2022 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly for NINO3.4 during the Aug-Oct season was -0.92 °C, and for the month of October it was -0.85 °C. The most recent weekly (09 Nov 2022) anomaly in the NINO3.4 region was -1.0 °C, indicating persistent La Niña conditions in the tropical Pacific.

Read more →