Research notes and updates from the team.
Note: The IRI seasonal forecasts issued this month are based on the NCEP-CFSv2, CanSIPsv2, and COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4, and GFDL-SPEAR models. Current month forecast also consider the new normal period 1991-2020.
Read more →The IRI NMME seasonal forecast for Aug 2021 uses 3 models, CanSIPSv2, NCEP-CFSv2, and COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4.
Read more →Note: The IRI seasonal forecasts issued this month are based on the NCEP-CFSv2, CanSIPsv2, and COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4 models.
Read more →The sea surface temperature (SST) forecast indicates that the tropical Pacific is currently ENSO-neutral and will likely remain so through the boreal summer.
Read more →The SST forecast indicates that the La Niña event has transitioned to ENSO-neutral and will likely remain so through the boreal summer. This collection of models suggests a re-emergence of cool SST anomalies in boreal fall that are just cool enough to meet the La Niña condition threshold of -0.5 C below average.
Read more →Note: The IRI seasonal forecasts issued this month are based on the NCEP-CFSv2, CanSIPsv2, and COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4 models.
Read more →