Research notes and updates from the team.
The SST forecast shows weak to moderate El Nino conditions (approximately 1.0ºC for the Nino3.4 SST index) from Apr-Jun through Jul-Sep. Much of the extratropical North Atlantic and North Pacific SSTs, as well as the SSTs in much of the Indian Ocean and parts of the middle and high latitude south Pacific, are predicted to be above-average during most of the four forecast seasons.
Read more →The SST forecast shows weak El Nino conditions (>0.5ºC and <1.0ºC for the Nino3.4 SST index) from Mar-May through May-Jul, weakening to a borderline El Nino level for Jun-Aug.
Read more →The SST forecast shows weak El Nino conditions (>0.5ºC and <1.0ºC for the Nino3.4 SST index) from Feb-Apr through Apr-Jun, becoming warm-neutral for May-Jul.
Read more →The SST forecast shows moderate El Nino conditions (>1.0ºC and <1.5ºC for the Nino3.4 SST index) during Jan-Mar and Feb-Apr, becoming weak (>0.5ºC and <1.0ºC) for Mar-May and Apr-Jun.
Read more →The SST forecast shows moderate El Nino conditions (>1.0ºC and <1.5ºC for the Nino3.4 SST index) during Dec-Feb and Jan-Mar, becoming weak (>0.5ºC and <1.0ºC) for Feb-Apr and Mar-May.
Read more →The SST forecast shows moderate El Nino conditions (>1.0C and <1.5C for the Nino3.4 SST index) developing by the initial Nov-Jan season, continuing through Feb-Apr. Much of the subtropical and extratropical North Atlantic and North Pacific SSTs, as well as the SSTs in much of the mid- to high-latitude Southern Hemisphere, are predicted to be above-average during all four forecast seasons.
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