Discussions

Research notes and updates from the team.

February 2023 Climate Forecast Discussion

Seasonal Forecast

In January 2023, equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the central-eastern Pacific Ocean remained cooler than normal, exhibiting persistent La Niña conditions (the NINO3.4 index value in January 2023 was -0.75C). The most recent weekly (08 Feb 2023) anomaly in the NINO3.4 region was -0.5 °C, showing a weakening of the current La Niña conditions in the tropical Pacific.

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January 2023 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly for NINO3.4 during the Oct-Dec season was -0.9 °C, and for the month of December it was -0.84 °C. The most recent weekly (11 Jan 2023) anomaly in the NINO3.4 region was -0.7 °C, indicating a slight weakening of the current La Niña conditions in the tropical Pacific.

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January 2023 Climate Forecast Discussion

Seasonal Forecast

In December 2022, the equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the central-eastern tropical Pacific Ocean remained cooler than normal, exhibiting persistent La Niña conditions (NINO3.4 index value in December 2022 was -0.84C).

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December 2022 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly for NINO3.4 during the Sep-Nov season was -0.90 °C, and for the month of November it was -0.93 °C. The most recent weekly (14 Dec 2022) anomaly in the NINO3.4 region was -0.9 °C, indicating persistent La Niña conditions in the tropical Pacific.

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December 2022 Climate Forecast Discussion

Seasonal Forecast

In November 2022, the equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the central-eastern tropical Pacific Ocean remained cooler than normal, exhibiting persistent La Niña conditions (NINO3.4 index value in November 2022 was -0.93C).

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November 2022 ENSO Discussion

ENSO Forecast

The SST anomaly for NINO3.4 during the Aug-Oct season was -0.92 °C, and for the month of October it was -0.85 °C. The most recent weekly (09 Nov 2022) anomaly in the NINO3.4 region was -1.0 °C, indicating persistent La Niña conditions in the tropical Pacific.

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