Research notes and updates from the team.
The SST forecast shows neutral ENSO conditions for all four forecast seasons from Apr-Jun through Jul-Sep, but leaning toward cool during Apr-Jun and May-Jul and leaning warm during Jun-Aug and especially Jul-Sep.
Read more →The SST forecast shows borderline La Nina conditions for Mar-May, becoming ENSO-neutral for Apr-Jun through Jun-Aug but leaning toward warm-neutral conditions for Jun-Aug.
Read more →The SST forecast shows moderate La Nina conditions for Feb-Apr, becoming weak for Mar-May and transitioning to neutral for Apr-Jun and May-Jul.
Read more →The SST forecast shows moderate La Nina conditions for Jan-Mar and Feb-Apr, becoming weak for Mar-May and cool-neutral by Apr-Jun.
Read more →The SST forecast shows moderate La Nina conditions for Dec-Feb and Jan-Mar, becoming weak for Feb-Apr and neutral by Mar-May. Most of the subtropical and extratropical North Pacific SST and the SST in many of the other extratropical regions is predicted to be above average during all four forecast seasons.
Read more →The SST forecast shows weak La Nina conditions for Nov-Jan through Jan-Mar, weakening to neutral by Feb-Apr. Most of the subtropical North Pacific SST and the SST in many of the other extratropical regions is predicted to be above average during all four forecast seasons. A slightly positive Indian Ocean Dipole is predicted for Nov-Jan, weakening for the later seasons.
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